I have heard many people say that if the ‘civic’ nationalist option is the correct path to follow, then people should opt for UKIP rather than the English Democrats.
I will examine this proposition.
Firstly, I will again reject the tag ‘civic’. I do not think any descriptive terms are necessary other than ‘nationalist’.
I do not and have never referred to myself as a civic nationalist, a racial nationalist, a cultural nationalist or a ethno nationalist. What is important is that we are nationalists and share common feelings and can unite around a common manifesto.
NEVER MAKE THE GRADE
UKIP made their first breakthrough back in 1999. This was the first European Election held under proportional representation and UKIP gained 3 MEPs with a shade under 7% of the vote.
They did considerably better in 2004, with just over 16% which got then 12 MEPs. In 2009 their share of the vote increased marginally to 16.5% and 13 of their members were elected to the European Parliament.
Since 1999 they have had a platform to grow and expand into other areas. However they have consistently failed to do this, despite the massive advantages that this should have conferred upon them. They remain a party that only has relevance at the European Election
For example in the Welsh Assembly their vote went from 2.3% in 2003 to 4.0% in 2007 and 4.6% in 2011. In the 2009 European Election UKIP polled 12.8% in Wales.
In the Greater London Assembly Top Up List their vote has gone from 2.0% in 2000, to 8.2% and 2 members elected in 2004 (purely because it was on the same day as the European Election) and back to 1.9% and no one elected in 2008.
They spend up to the maximum limit in Parliamentary by-elections and usually fail to defeat any of the main three parties although they do usually save their deposit. For the money spent this is not a massive vote of confidence. UKIP’s results in recent Parliamentary by-elections are as follows:
Feltham and Heston (December 2011) - 5.5%
Inverclyde (June 2011) - 1.0%
Leicester South (May 2011) - 2.9%
Barnsley Central (March 2011) - 12.2% - defeated the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats
Oldham East and Saddleworth (January 2011) – 5.8%
The only result that stands out is that achieved in Barnsley Central and the momentum was immediately lost.
In local elections they have signally failed to set the world on fire. They have occasional local successes where local activist have good experience usually after a group has defected from one of the major parties. Their most notable success was in taking control of Ramsey Town Council – in rural Huntingdonshire. The BNP, for all its limitations, vastly outstripped UKIP in terms of its local by-election performance when it operated efficiently between around 2003 to 2009.
Quite simply, UKIP has had every opportunity to break into the big time, to challenge the political establishment outside the confines of the European Elections, yet they have always failed to make any significant impact.
Is it likely that they will ever be able to make the grade? I would suggest not. They are limited partly due to their absolute infatuation with all things to do with Europe. Talk to a UKIPer and that is all you get. They are psychologically unable to make themselves relevant in terms of local government or even Westminster elections.
So while UKIP can attract a decent body of support and a healthy membership, while they can make impact in the absence of a more rounded and credible challenger for the Euro sceptic vote at the five yearly Euro Elections, that is it.
If you want a vehicle to take power then it is not UKIP. If you just want to make a bit of a splash, then they may serve a purpose.
SECTARIAN
In many ways if you combined the political activist savvy found in the BNP at its height with UKIP you would have a dream ticket but that ain’t going to happen.
UKIP is determined to go it alone. It officially bans ex-BNP members from joining. This is understandable in many ways. UKIP thinks it has made the grade and this status would be compromised if it was tainted by the influx of ex-BNPers. The BNP is a toxic brand and it is quite true to say that anyone with BNP associations will be tarnished to a degree.
Whatever might be the case, it is a bullet that UKIP will not bite. They have got to a reasonable size without BNPers and don’t want to risk losing their respectable tag. I would suggest that if they had quietly accepted sensible BNPers then it would not in fact have done them any harm at all. Notwithstanding the BNP’s tarnished image, the media and the public quite accept that many normal and decent people were in the BNP. After all the energetic campaigns that prevailed up to about 2009 exposed a large part of the population to the BNP and this exposure was not always negative. I do not believe for a second that involvement in the BNP per se is regarded as being damning. UKIP have shown themselves to be too timid and jumpy for their own good.
I know that some ex-BNP people have joined UKIP and are tolerated so long as they sit quietly. This is not exactly a mutually beneficial arrangement as the only benefit UKIP would get is if they absorbed the activist spirit and know how that was found within the BNP up until a few years ago.
The other problem that the few isolated BNPers will experience within UKIP is that it is too big and unwieldy to help. Due to the successes UKIP has achieved it will be unresponsive to know-it-alls who come in and say ‘Oh no – do it this way’. Organisationally it will be set in its ways.
IS UKIP A NATIONALIST ORGANISATION?
While it is true to say that most UKIP voters are motivated by patriotic impulses and most UKIP members will be nationalistic, I am not so sure that UKIP can organisationally be regarded as nationalist. They have no real cultural dimension (unlike in the English Democrats for example).
In many ways it is statist party. The very term ‘United Kingdom’ grates with me and always has. It strikes me that a nationalist would never use that term to describe their party. The term could apply to any ‘United Kingdom’. The term is not reflective of the land or people. The 'English Democrats', for example, is a ‘people’ term.
The statist nature of UKIP is underlined by its refusal to accept devolution in Wales and Scotland and its opposition to an English Parliament. UKIP is very much an old fogey party that finds it difficult to move with the times. The nature of the Union has changed. Any political party that fails to recognise that is pretty much doomed.
I know a few people in UKIP are desperate to head off the growing momentum behind the English Democrats and are making noises about recognising the need for an English Parliament but that won’t affect the overall statist construction of UKIP and its one-trick pony Euro obsession.
Similarly UKIP is too timid to take the bull by the horns and talk about immigration beyond a little rattling of sabres during certain by-elections, in the manner of the old Conservative Party.
This can be seen as a reaction to old skule traditional nationalism causing that whole area of politics to be too hot to handle. It has almost the case that if any politician mentions immigration in a negative manner then they feel they will be tarred with the NF-BNP brush along with mental images of rowdy marches, bovver boys, hate–filled remarks, aggressive sloganising and stiff right arm salutes. One of the legacies of decades of inappropriate behaviour from with the ranks of old skule nationalism is that this is the prevailing image associated with political opposition to immigration. UKIP are utterly unable to face this down.
OUTFLANKED?
It is sometimes said that if the Conservatives adopt the English Democrat policy for an English Parliament then the English Democrats would cease to exist. This is hardy the case as the English Democrats also have a firm policy for encouraging England’s cultural identity, it opposes immigration, it firmly opposes membership of the European Union and so forth. Should the Conservatives do all these things then maybe there would be no point in the EDs existing, but then the objectives would have been achieved anyway!
In any case, has the creation of the Welsh Assembly resulted in a fall in support for Plaid Cymru? No! Since the Welsh Assembly was created their vote has risen.
But what chance is there that the Conservatives will support an English Parliament? Virtually none.
One of the founding principals of the liberal state is to deny Englishness at every turn. The English liberal ascendancy fears and loathes, in equal measure, its own English identity. That what you have to understand before you can grasp the nature of British politics. Yes I used the term British deliberately. That is why the English are actually the poor relation in this Union.
The Conservative Party is a fully paid up member of that liberal ascendancy. They have, at least since the last war, governed as such.
Similarly UKIP would effectively, and more certainly, ceased to exist were the Conservatives to adopt a policy for the withdrawal of Britain from the European Union. Frankly I think there is no realistic chance of this happening although they may make noises about re-negotiating the treaty or about holding a referendum on some issue or another. Remember the Conservatives are part and parcel of the liberal ascendancy. The liberal ascendancy is wedded to the European dream.
It is as likely that the Conservatives will ever stop immigration. They will make an occasional noise but do nothing about it. Anyone who seriously thinks this is a fantasist.
ACCOUNTABLE
The other thing about UKIP is that it is essentially a top down party. It is run in an autocratic manner by Nigel Farage. There are regular bouts of internal tension and complaints about heavy handed behaviour with the UKIP party centre regularly overriding local decisions. While UKIP’s internal leadership election in 2010 was run in a fairly legitimate manner – particularly compared to the corrupt process Nick Griffin put in place at the same time in the BNP (OK that isn’t saying much as Nick Griffin is a master at corrupting the BNP’s internal democratic process) – there is a major problem in UKIP with respect to democratic accountability.
Because the age structure of UKIP is so old (there is no other way of putting it) and non activist based, Farage and co can get away with his this level of authoritarianism. In a vibrant and youthful party – as any party that really challenges for power must be - this will be a major problem. Authoritarianism stifles initiative.
By comparison the English Democrats are a bottom up party. Most power is invested in branches, counties and regions. There is a very high degree of local autonomy and complete local financial independence. Its internal structure is ideally suited for rapid and dynamic growth.
CONCLUSION
In short, UKIP have had ample opportunity since 1999 to make real progress and shake the establishment. It has consistently failed to do this. There is absolutely no reason to suppose that it could ever do it. There are absolutely no signs that it can. It will almost certainly remain as a large anti-European pressure group that makes a name for itself every five years. It will retain that position until a credible year-round party comes along that is also opposed to our continued membership of the European Union.
The British National Party was never able to do this due to the excess baggage that it was burdened with. A sensible party that is in tune with the modern age can. It is not certain that success will be achieved. Nothing is certain. However we can be pretty sure that UKIP faces an unbreakable glass ceiling. Effort must be put into building an organisation which, while it might be currently smaller and less significant, has the latent potential to grow and surpass its rivals.
That party is the English Democrats.